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Probability Project

Use the document “Probability Project” to complete the assignment.


PSY-520 Graduate Statistics
Topic 3 – Probability Project
Directions: Use the following information to complete the assignment. While APA format is not required for the body of this assignment, solid academic writing is expected, and documentation of sources should be presented using APA formatting guidelines, which can be found in the APA Style Guide, located in the Student Success Center.
There are many misconceptions about probability which may include the following.
· All events are equally likely
· Later events may be affected by or compensate for earlier ones
· When determining probability from statistical data, sample size is irrelevant
· Results of games of skill are unaffected by the nature of the participants
· “Lucky/Unlucky” numbers can influence random events
· In random event involving selection, results are dependent on number rather than rations
· If events are random then the results of a series of independent events are equally likely
The following statements are all incorrect. Explain the statements and the errors fully using the probability rules discussed in topic two.
1. I have flipped and unbiased coin three times and got heads, it is more likely to get tails the next time I flip it.
2. The Rovers play Mustangs. The Rovers can win, loose, or draw, so the probability that they win is 1/3.
3. I roll two dice and ad the results. The probability of getting a total of 6 is 1/12 because there are 12 different possibilities and 6 is one of them.
4. Mr. Purple has to have a major operation. 90% of the people who have this operation make a complete recovery. There is a 90% chance that Mr. Purple will make a complete recovery if he has this operation.
5. I flip two coins. The probability of getting heads and tails is 1/3 because I can get Heads and Heads, Heads and Tails, or Tails and Tails.
6. 13 is an unlucky number so you are less likely to win raffles with ticket number 13 than with a different dumber.
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curvilinear trend

Details: Complete the following exercises located at the end of each chapter and put them into a Word document to be submitted as directed by the instructor. Show all relevant work; use the equation editor in Microsoft Word when necessary.

Details:
Complete the following exercises located at the end of each chapter and put them into a Word document to be submitted as directed by the instructor.
Show all relevant work; use the equation editor in Microsoft Word when necessary.

6.7 (a) Estimate whether the following pairs of scores for X and Y refl ect a positive relationship, a negative relationship, or no relationship. Hint: Note any tendency for pairs of X and Y scores to occupy similar or dis-similar relative locations.
X Y
64 66
40 79
30 98
71 65
55 76
31 83
61 68
42 80
57 72
(b) Construct a scatterplot for X and Y . Verify that the scatterplot does not describe a pronounced curvilinear trend. (c) Calculate r using the computation formula (6.1). 6.8 Calculate the value of r using the computational formula (6.1) for the following data:
X Y
2 8
4 6
5 2
3 3
1 4
7 1
2 4
*6.10 On the basis of an extensive survey, the California Department of Education reported an r of 2 .32 for the relationship between the amount of time spent watching TV and the achievement test scores of schoolchildren. Each of the following statements represents a possible interpretation of this finding. Indicate whether each is true or false.
(a) Every child who watches a lot of TV will perform poorly on the achievement tests.
(b) Extensive TV viewing causes a decline in test scores.
(c) Children who watch little TV will tend to perform well on the tests.
(d) Children who perform well on the tests will tend to watch little TV.
(e) If Gretchen’s TV-viewing time is reduced by one-half, we can expect a substantial improvement in her test scores.
(f) TV viewing could not possibly cause a decline in test scores.
6.11 Assume that an r of .80 describes the relationship between daily food intake, measured in ounces, and body weight, measured in pounds, for a group of adults. Would a shift in the units of measurement from ounces to grams and from pounds to kilograms change the value of r ? Justify your answer.
7.8 Each of the following pairs represents the number of licensed drivers ( X ) and the number of cars ( Y ) for seven houses in my neighborhood:
Drivers(x) Cars(Y)
5 4
5 3
2 2
2 2
3 2
1 1
2 2
(a) Construct a scatterplot to verify a lack of pronounced curvilinearity.
(b) Determine the least squares equation for these data. (Remember, you will first have to calculate r , SS y , and SS x .)
(c) Determine the standard error of estimate, s y | x , given that n 5 7.
(d) Predict the number of cars for each of two new families with two and five drivers.
7.10 Assume that r 2 equals .50 for the relationship between height and weight for adults. Indicate whether the following statements are true or false.
(a) Fifty percent of the variability in heights can be explained by variability in weights.
(b) There is a cause-effect relationship between height and weight.
(c) The heights of 50 percent of adults can be predicted exactly from their weights.
(d) Fifty percent of the variability in weights is predictable from heights.
7.13 In the original study of regression toward the mean, Sir Francis Galton noted a tendency for offspring of both tall and short parents to drift toward the mean height for offspring and referred to this tendency as “regression toward mediocrity.” What is wrong with the conclusion that eventually all heights will be close to their mean?
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Community Resources

Community Resources Instructions
The purpose of this assignment is increase awareness of available resources and encourage the development of a professional “database” to better serve future clients.
· Identify resources that exist within your community, organization, or online that could provide assistance with a wide variety of needs. 
o Resources could include food banks, financial assistance, domestic violence shelters, suicide prevention phone numbers, churches, clothing banks, food preparation/nutrition classes, financial planning training, et cetera. Ensure that your list encompasses a broad range of needs, physical, emotional, spiritual, et cetera.
· Create a list of these resources.
o This list must be diverse and include at least 10 resources that would be helpful to your client population. When you list your information, you must include the name of the organization that provides the assistance, the type of assistance that they provide, and the people who can use their services. Also note if there are any exclusion criteria (for example, if an agency will only service those who live within a specific geographical area, the agency will only offer assistance once per month, etc.).
o The information must be presented in a manner consistent with APA format.
Refer to the Community Resources Grading Rubric for specific grading criteria.

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SOCW-6111-Responses

****EACH RESPONSE NEEDS TO BE ½ PAGE OR MORE WITH 1 OR MORE REFERENCES****
RESPONSE 1
Respond to at least two colleagues with your thoughts on the skills they suggested, and how they were empowering to the client. Provide specific examples.
Colleague 1: Tiffany
In Jake’s case the therapist used problem-solving skills to address Jake’s anxiety. The therapist taught Jake a technique to slow his breathing to relieve his anxiety. The therapist taught Jake when he feels his anxiety coming on due to his PTSD to put one hand across his chest and the other on his upper stomach, close his eyes and breath in slowly and out. This technique helps to slow his breathing and reduce his anxiety. I would recommend Jake go to group with other members that have PTSD, I would suggest Jake tell his story using the breathing techniques he was taught. I would use strengths perspective and find out who and what are Jake’s strengths in his life. I would suggest he draw a eco-map to indicate his support systems. Jake’s wife would be a support system and I would ask if the both of them could attend the PTSD groups together so she could hear how dramatic PTSD can be. I would encourage Jake to use his story to help others that suffer from PTSD know they are not alone. This could help the negative aspect of Jake’s story turn into something positive by helping others that are suffering from PTSD. It would also help Jake to hear others stories so he will learn he is not alone facing his PTSD. Jake and I would brainstorm together letting him pick the ideas he thinks that would help him heal faster. We both would develop a plan to keep Jake at his baseline. I would also recommend Jake start going to AA meeting in his community to help give him the support he needs to stop self-medicating himself.
References
Plummer, S.-B., Makris, S., & Brocksen, S. M. (Eds.). (2014a). Sessions: case histories. Baltimore, MD: Laureate International Universities Publishing. [Vital Source e-reader].
The Levy Family (pp. 15–16)
Yoder, M., Tuerk, P. W., Price, M., Grubaugh, A., L., Strachan, M., Myrick, H., & Acierno, R. (2012). Prolonged exposure therapy for combat-related posttraumatic stress disorder: Comparing outcomes for veterans of different wars. Psychological Services, 9(1), 16–25.
Colleague 2: Christine
Applied Interventions, Skills and Tools
In the case of Jake Levy there were various interventions, skills, and tools provided to support Jake and the struggles he experienced surrounding his recent diagnosis of PTSD and substance misuse. The one’s that stuck out for me while assessing this case are as follows:
1) One on one therapy
2) Guided meditation
3) Assessment through charting to identify triggers and dissociation episodes
4) Role Playing
5) Support Groups
6) AA Group Meetings
7) Mental Health Connection
8) Couple therapy session with his wife
All of these can imply that Jake and his service provider worked together to formulate his goal planning, safety planning, and add support toward Jake’s insight with this struggles. The service provider clearly displayed empathy for Jake as it was seen in the body language provided in the video. It also appeared the provider involved active listening skills to fully understand Jake and his situation with PTSD and his substance misuse. It was evident that the service provider and Jake formulated solid plans toward overcoming his struggles, while connecting him to almost all possible resources available to move him forward. Jake’s provider also involved his wife, for which I feel is important for those around Jake to become educated in what will trigger Jake and how Jake can be supported through even the darkest times. It appeared the provider allowed Jake to be the driver of his change while empowering him, which was evident that he created some interventions himself. Here, Jake initiated his own goal while attending AA meetings to curb his struggle with his drinking. The provider clearly had strong skills in empathetic listening as it was okay to have those moments of silence while Jake learned new techniques from the provider to guide him through the anxiety.
Additional Skills
Additional skills that a social worker may bring to the table are having a deep understanding of crisis intervention skills allowing to provide familiarity with mental health disorders, specifically in combat. Understanding of the challenges of grief and other factors affecting military personnel and veterans. This will allow for an open mind while trying to harness what someone is going through with the PTSD symptoms, as Jake displayed. Also, I feel having the ability to understand the stigmas and stereotypes surrounding the military. By allowing yourself the open mind to educate and become more informed is a necessary tool to provide accurate care for veterans. This understanding will provide the provider and the client to have a deeper working alliance toward coordinating care. Often times, someone experiencing PTSD will experience feelings of emptiness and lack insight that they indeed have support.

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Training Opportunities

Training Opportunities Instructions
The purpose of this assignment is to increase awareness of available training opportunities and to encourage continued learning and professional development.
Imagine that your supervisor has identified a specific need for training or improvement for the staff in your internship site. Identify training opportunities that exist within your community or online that would provide specific training to address the supposed need. These opportunities could be in the form of training sessions, organizations that promote certification, literature to read, etc.
Create a list of at least five training opportunities that will meet this specific need. Include all information required to be able to use this training list (contact information, etc.).
The list should include the name of the training, a brief abstract of learning goals (in your own words), contact information for the training and cost information as applicable.
Refer to the Training Opportunities Grading Rubric for specific grading criteria.

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maladaptive behaviors, and current treatment plans/progress

Can you complete this assignment for me. This is my information for my intern site
 
The purpose of Case Study 1 is to provide an opportunity to demonstrate course-related knowledge in speaking more “deeply” about 1 specific client. Your case study will identify specific behaviors and how those behaviors are evaluated in light of a specific theory. You will also identify ways that specific behaviors can be addressed in a manner consistent with the theories of your field. (For research-oriented internships, you will identify specific variables being studied and provide rationale for the study.)
With explicit permission from your site supervisor, choose a case, circumstance, or situation at your site. If an appropriate case cannot be obtained from your site, then you may complete a case study on a historical or fictional character. You will need explicit permission from your instructor to use a historical or fictional character.
Discuss the following steps with your supervisor:
· Without violating confidentiality, provide background information on your subject (or group/situation), including behaviors observed, any medical information that is available, socio-cultural factors that might affect treatment, etc.
· Provide information about current behaviors, specifically maladaptive behaviors, and current treatment plans/progress.
· Using knowledge gained in your study of psychology in general and/or your cognate in particular, provide a brief theoretical explanation of your case.
Using knowledge gained in your study of psychology in general and/or your cognate in particular, identify a treatment plan detailing how you would continue to work with this case. (This treatment plan may be hypothetical.)
The paper must fulfil the following criteria:
· 3–4 pages
· Current APA format
· This document must maintain the strictest level of confidentiality.
Refer to the provided Case Study 1 Grading Rubric for specific grading criteria

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Assessment of Addiction and Co-occurring Disorders

Unit 5 Assignment 1
Assessment of Addiction and Co-occurring Disorders
For this assignment, you will select one of the case scenarios provided in the assignment’s Resources and analyze assessment tools that would support the diagnostic process for both the substance use and mental health issues presented. You will need to compare at least two assessments for each area of concern, including the client’s risk of harm to self or others, and point out the relative strengths and limitations of each. Consider scholarly literature and reviews for your selected assessment tool in the Mental Measurement Yearbook, if available, in order to analyze the level of appropriateness of the tool to assess clients from diverse backgrounds. Formulate a provisional diagnosis following DSM-5 criteria using the assessment template provided. Follow the template to address client strengths, challenges, and level of care (see page 75 of the text). This assignment sets the stage for the formulation of the treatment plan in u09a1.
Follow these assignment requirements:
Written communication: Written communication is thoughtful and free of errors that detract from the overall message.
APA formatting: Resources and citations are formatted according to APA (6th edition) style and formatting.
Number of resources: Minimum of six scholarly sources. Distinguished submissions will likely exceed this number.
Length of paper: 6–8 typed, double-spaced pages, plus title page and references.
Font and font size: Times New Roman, 12 point.
Submission Requirements
You are required to submit your final version of this paper to Turnitin to generate a final report prior to submitting the assignment for grading. From the Turnitin tool, use the Final report option for the assignment.
Resources
Assessment of Addiction and Co-occurring Disorders Scoring Guide.
Mental Measurement Yearbook: Citing.
APA Style and Formatting.
Case Scenarios.
u05a1 Template.
Turnitin.com Tutorial: Viewing Originality Reports.
Please S30.00 for the Assignment. Due (Saturday) 2/03/2018.

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Writing In Psychology

Before you start on this assignment, study Lesson Three(article summary grading rubic) so that you know what to include. Write a five to seven research summary of the article, Perpetrators of Alcohol-Involved Sexual Assaults: How Do They Differ From Other Sexual Assault Perpetrators and Non-perpetrators?”. This summary will include a summary of each section of the research paper. I will want you to include references made by the authors, a summary of the methodology, of the analysis, and the conclusions.
PLEASE FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS……Everything you NEED is in the ARTICLE attached, USE THIS!

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Research Methods-Scales and Variables Assignment

PY3350 Research Methods
James C. Guy, Ph.D.
Scales and Variables Assignment

INSTRUCTIONS: After reading the helps below, identify the scale of measurement and/or the IV and DV for each of the questions on page two. Use this paper to record your answer and upload it into Bb.

——————————————————————————————————————————————

Variables can be Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, or Ratio.

Designs also have an Independent Variable (IV) and a Dependent Variable (DV), or multiples of these as you will learn in a later module on factorials designs.

There are some hints to remembering the definition and being able to identify these. Consider the following, or you may come up with some on your own.

SCALES

NOMINAL= “name”

(Begins with “n” and just names something)

ORDINAL= “order”

(Begins with “o” and puts data in order without a specific distance between the points)

INTERVAL=”even”

(Goes one step beyond the Ordinal in that the distances between the data points are even; It does not have a “true zero” point meaning zero does not mean the absence of something.)

RATIO=”zero”

(ratiO/zerO; The distances between data points are even as in the Interval scale but there is also a true zero meaning that “zero” on the scale actually means that absence of the thing being measured.)

VARIABLES

Independent Variable (IV) = What “I” do to this variable affects the DV (The IV is the one that is manipulated)

Dependant Variable (DV) = This variable “depends” on what I do to the IV (The DV is the one that changes as a result of the IV -assuming there is an affect of one on the other)

QUESTIONS

1. A researcher is measuring gender and identifies Females with a “1” and Males with a “2”. Which scale is being used in this case?

Click here to enter text.

2. A researcher is measuring what place runners place in a race compared to how much caffeine they consume before the race. The amount of caffeine is measured in grams and the runners are measured based on the order they cross the finish line. Which scale would be used for the runners and which one for the caffeine?

Runners Click here to enter text.

Caffeine Click here to enter text.

3. A scientist is measuring the affect of adding alcohol to water by measuring the temperature of water with and without alcohol added after being put in a freezer for 24 hours. The temperature is being measured in Celsius with “0” being considered the freezing point of water. Would the temperature be measured as an Interval scale or a Ratio scale? Clearly explain the reason for your answer.

Click here to enter text.

4. A researcher is comparing family income to personality of the father. Personality is measured using the Myers-Briggs (MBTI) categories, and income is measured using a self-report of income. Which scales would be used for each of these varaibles?

Personality Click here to enter text.

Income Click here to enter text.

5. Give a brief summary of a research you might conduct such as those in the questions above. Then identify which would be your DV and which would be your IV. State why.

Click here to enter text.

6. A researcher is giving rats alcohol in the lab and testing how fast they complete the Murry Water Maze task. What is being manipulated in this study (e.g. Which is the IV?) and why is it considered “manipulated”?

Click here to enter text.

7. In the example in question #6, on which variable will the difference be measured to determine if the other variable had a statistically significant affect on it?

Click here to enter text.

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Discussion Post

Discussion Post APA FORMAT

Step 1: Select one paragraph from the Social Change excerpt to edit. This document is found in the Learning Resources.
Step 2: Referring to Chapter 6 of the APA Publication Manual, revise the paragraph in correct APA format, rewriting the citations, quotations, and references as necessary. Use the references listed for your paragraph number as your citation sources.
Step 3: For this Discussion, the references for each paragraph are listed in the Social Change excerpt. These references are not in correct APA format. Using the information from Chapter 7 of the APA Publication Manual, put the references for your paragraph in correct APA format.
HERE IS THE PARAGRAH THAT NEEDS TO BE EDITED TO APA FORMATION
PLEASE EDIT THE FOLLOWING IN THE PARAGRAH: format, re writing citations, quotations, and references as necessary. Use the references listed for your paragragh number as citation source
THIS IS PARAGRAGH (1)
1. Several key individuals and ideas that have shaped the philosophy of social change. The first of these is Mahatma Gandhi. According to Kapadia, Gandhi believed that ideas and ideals had no value if they were not translated into action. Gandhi talked frequently about social change and service to others: The best way to find yourself is to lose yourself in the service of others. Implementing positive social change can be a difficult process. Gandhi was asked why people should not just achieve their goals by any means necessary. He believed that the means are connected to the end. Gandhi wrote: every problem lends itself to solution if we are determined to make the law of truth and nonviolence the law of life. According to Pal, Gandhi influenced many important social change movements and leaders. Some leaders who have acknowledged his influence are: Dr. Martin Luther King, Nelson Mandela, the Dalai Lama, Aung San Suu Kyi and Rigoberta Menchu.
HERE IS THE REFERENCE INFORMATION FOR PARAGRAH ONE.. PLEASE USE THIS INFO TO FORMAT THE PARAGRAH CORRECTLY AND THEN PLEASE PUT THE REFERENCE IN THE CORRECT APA FORMAT.
References for Paragraph 1
Author: A. Pal Date: Jan 24, 2008. Title of article: 60 years after death, Gandhi is Making world a better Place. Published in: The Progressive. Website:http://www.progressive.org/mag_wxap012408
Mahatma Gandhi. 1961. Book title: Non-violent Resistance. City: New York Publisher: Schocken Books.
S. Kapadia, Published: November 29, 1995. Article title: A Tribute to Mahatma Gandhi: His Views on Women and Social Change. Published in: Journal of South Asia Women Studies, Vol. 1, Issue 1. Website:http://asiatica.org/jsaws/